Friday, November 26, 2010

Going, Going, Gone. Single Family Home Leases are Flying off the Market

Now would be a great time to consider, or reconsider, investing in single family homes as a “passive” income investment opportunity in your retirement strategy.

For the second time in a row, my same young clients have missed an opportunity to put an application on a lease house because another lease application was submitted first.  Not only were we beaten to the punch, but the first submitted application actually looked acceptable.  Both leases were for $1195 / mo, both houses were in great condition, and both went Pending approval status in days.

These are very nice homes that did not get the offers they wanted when they were on the market for sale.  So, rather than take a loss in this challenging market when there is so much inventory out there, the owners decided to lease.  This has been happening all year.  And, with the mortgage qualifying criteria not getting any easier, I expect this trend to continue for years to come.  Good houses at strong market rent rates will lease quickly.  Good, qualified prospective home owners will continue to lease a house first while they save for a house and improve their credit standing.

Although mortgage loan rates are at historic lows hovering under 4.5%, qualifying for a loan continues to be a challenge for prospective borrowers on the bubble.  So, think about all those home buyers who qualified for a loan back in the hey-day of “no document” loans, and interest only ARM loans.  (Interest only homes allowed borrowers to qualify because it raised their income ratio against the mortgage debt.).  The difference between those who qualified then and those who qualify now, are going to want to continue living in a house, not in an apartment.


Single-family Lease Houses built since 2005 that leased for over $1000
Austin, Cedar Park, Round Rock, Pflugerville
Source: Austin Board of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service deemed to be reliable but data is not guaranteed;
Graph by George Mora, REALTOR ®

The bottom most line in the graph is for the year 2010.  This shows that houses for lease this year from April through August leased faster than in any of the same months since 2006.  September and October were not bad either with only 2007 showing shorter days on market.

If you are an investor you can appreciate that having a house on the market for less than a month will save you significant amounts of money and stress.

I am continuing to analyze the lease market for these four cities and breaking down the top rentable areas by subdivisions.  I am looking for the best neighborhoods where investors can get the best cash flow for the newest houses and least amount of time on the market.  Because of the shift in the sales market, I am finding some shifts to areas where the number of houses that have leaseD have increased significantly over the past two years, in some cases nearly doubling.  These are subdivisions where families have always flocked to for schools and community.

Whether you are an experienced investor or just starting out, I would be happy to share my research and show you where the best investments could be for you: cash flow, protection of value, and potential appreciation.  Contact me by email (georgemora@realtyaustin.com) or by phone, 512-917-8961.

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Pent up Demand

The NAR's chief economist made an insightful point: "We've added 30 million people to the U.S. population over the past ten years, but sales are where they were in 2000, so there appears to be a sizable pent-up demand that could come to the market once the economy gathers momentum." Other analysts commented that "decade low mortgage rates and near record highs in affordability should help stabilize sales in the near term, however it will take meaningful improvement in the labor market to drive housing going forward."


Even here in Austin sold properties in the Multiple Listing Service for our area shows that activity is lowest for the past 10 years for the months July through September.  I also believe there is a great deal of pent up demand but I don't think low mortgage rates will be enticing people out.  Until we see consecutive months of positive employment numbers like we saw in October, I don't think people will be leaving their leases to buy a house.  Better employment figures and low mortgage rates, that's what I want to see.